Bitcoin’s (BTC) selling pressure is potentially subsiding as traders register 12% in unrealized loss margins, according to CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno.
Moreno added that this could potentially result in BTC getting stuck in a lateralization pattern for up to four months.
He further highlighted that the current level of traders’ unrealized losses usually signals a local bottom for Bitcoin. Previous occurrences were registered between June and October 2023 and June and October 2024 — if the pattern repeats, Bitcoin could fail to register decisive price action until June.
Based on CryptoSlate data, Bitcoin was trading at $82,900 as of press time, down roughly 0.9% over the past 24 hours.
The data highlighted by Moreno comes as Bitcoin holders realized $1.7 billion in losses on Feb. 26, the largest loss realization movement since August 2024.
Potential for further downside
Morena said that despite the traders’ unrealized loss margin suggesting a local bottom, Bitcoin’s metrics are in correction territory.
He noted that the MVRV, a commonly used indicator, is below its 365-day moving average. As a result, it can take more time for BTC to find its footing and start a recovery movement.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant CEO and founder Ki Young Ju shared that it might take one more month to determine whether Bitcoin will revert to a downtrend movement or if a recovery is possible. He added that it all depends on the increase in the buyers’ demand.
According to Ju:
“Based on the typical two-year cycle, the bull market should last until April 2025 — I mentioned this back in May 2024. The next month or two will be a key turning point for the BTC market. If every indicator confirms a downtrend, I’ll admit I was wrong and post about it.”
However, despite the potential for further downside, Ju is not convinced that BTC could drop below $77,000. In his assessment, the worst-case scenario would be Bitcoin consolidating near $77,000 before resuming an upward movement.
Bitcoin Market Data
At the time of press 8:33 pm UTC on Feb. 27, 2025, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market cap and the price is down 0.81% over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $1.64 trillion with a 24-hour trading volume of $56.88 billion. Learn more about Bitcoin ›
Crypto Market Summary
At the time of press 8:33 pm UTC on Feb. 27, 2025, the total crypto market is valued at at $2.76 trillion with a 24-hour volume of $129.15 billion. Bitcoin dominance is currently at 59.53%. Learn more about the crypto market ›
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